Climate Risk & Opportunity Analysis
WHA Group’s primary tool for analyzing climate-related risks and opportunities is climate-related scenario analysis, which has been conducted on an ongoing basis since 2022. The analysis covers both physical and transition climate risks across defined time horizons, including short-term (1–3 years), medium-term (3–10 years), and long-term (more than 10 years), and informs the development of climate adaptation and mitigation measures for physical and transition risks. The scenario analysis is aligned with the Task Force on Climate-related Financial Disclosures (TCFD) framework and covers four scenarios. Physical risk scenarios reference the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs), while transition risk scenarios are based on the International Energy Agency (IEA) climate pathways. The analysis also incorporates relevant Thai regulatory developments, including national targets for carbon neutrality by 2050 and net zero greenhouse gas emissions by 2065 to assess potential impacts on business resilience, operational continuity, strategic planning, and long-term value creation.
Type of climate-related scenario analysis
| Physical Risk | Transition Risk | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Scenario 1 RCP 8.5 Business as Usual | Scenario 2 RCP 2.6 Low Future Carbon | Scenario 1 IEA STEPS | Scenario 2 IEA NZE 2050 |
|
Limited climate policy action results in continued high greenhouse gas emissions and a projected global temperature increase of approximately 3–4°C above pre-industrial levels. Under this scenario leads to more frequent and severe extreme weather events, including flooding, heat stress, and water scarcity. Potential impacts on WHA Group include increased operating and maintenance costs, infrastructure damage, supply chain disruption, and reduced asset reliability, which may affect revenue stability and business continuity. |
Strong climate policies and technological advancements drive a transition toward a low-carbon economy, limiting global temperature rise to well below 2°C above pre-industrial levels. Under this scenario, physical risks are relatively lower compared to a high-emission scenario; however, residual risks remain, particularly from chronic climate changes. At the same time, the Group may benefit from improved long-term asset resilience and reduced exposure to severe climate impacts, positioning the Group to capture emerging opportunities in the low-carbon transition. |
Current policies and commitments result in a gradual transition, with moderate regulatory pressure and carbon pricing mechanisms. Potential impacts on WHA Group include increasing compliance costs, moderate shifts in customer demand, and the need for incremental investment in low-carbon technologies and solutions. |
A rapid and ambitious transition aligned with achieving net zero emissions by 2050, supported by stringent climate policies, high carbon prices, and accelerated technological transformation. Potential impacts on WHA Group include significant changes in energy costs, the risk of stranded assets, and higher capital expenditure requirements, alongside opportunities for new revenue streams from low-carbon solutions and renewable energy development. |
Scope of Assessment
WHA Group defines the scope of its climate-related assessment for both physical and transition risks. Physical risk assessments are conducted based on asset-specific locations and geographic exposure, including specific coordinates and provinces where the Group operates, while transition risk assessments are conducted across each business unit and relevant value chain activities to evaluate potential impacts from evolving climate-related regulations, market dynamics, technology shifts, and stakeholder expectations. To response to physical climate risk adaptation, WHA has context-specific plan to adapt to physical climate risks to cover 100% of existing and/or new operations. The existing operation has plans to implement in less than 5 years.
The physical risks associated with climate change
| Physical Risk | Impact Areas | Financial Impact | Management measure and adaptation plan | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RCP 8.5 Scenario | RCP 2.6 Scenario | |||
| Acute Risk: The increasing volatility and severity of weather patterns, including the occurrence of natural disasters, pose significant risks to WHA Group’s operational areas. | WHA Mega Logistics Center Ladkrabang, WHA Saraburi Industrial Land |
Short-term: Medium Medium-term: Medium Long-term: Medium |
Short-term: No impact Medium-term: Low Long-term: Low |
Cost of management measure and adaptation plan taken: 56,100,000 Baht |
| Acute Risk: The increasingly severe and frequent fluctuations in weather conditions, including droughts, pose a risk to the operational areas of WHA Group | 14 industrial estate zones in the Eastern Economic Corridor (EEC), spanning Chonburi and Rayong provinces |
Short-term: Medium Medium-term: Medium Long-term: Medium |
Short-term: No impact Medium-term: Low Long-term: Low |
|
| Acute Risk: Increasingly severe and unpredictable weather conditions, including storms, thunderstorms, and lightning. | 100% of operational sites |
Short-term: Medium Medium-term: Medium Long-term: Medium |
Short-term: No impact Medium-term: Low Long-term: Low |
|
| Chronic Risk: Increasing mean temperature | 100% of operational sites |
Short-term: Medium Medium-term: Medium Long-term: Medium |
Short-term: No impact Medium-term: Low Long-term: Low |
|
The transition risks associated with climate change
| Transition Risk | Impact Areas | Financial Impact | Management measure and adaptation plan | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IEA STEPS Scenario | IEA NZE 2050 Scenario | |||
| Policy & Legal: Changes in laws and regulations related to greenhouse gas emission, such as carbon tax | 100% of operational sites |
Impacts and Timeframe:
|
Impacts and Timeframe:
|
Cost of management measure and adaptation plan taken: 4,387,688.19 Baht (under NZE scenario for installation of the on-site solar photovoltaic (PV) system) |
| Technology: Cost of new technology | 100% of operational sites |
Short-term: No Impact Medium-term: No Impact Long-term: WHA may be impacted (Impact level has not been quantified) |
Short-term: No Impact Medium-term: No Impact Long-term: WHA may be impacted (Impact level has not been quantified) |
|
| Market: Customer Preference Shift to Low-Carbon Products and Services | 100% of operational sites |
Short-term: No Impact Medium-term: WHA may be impacted (Impact level has not been quantified) Long-term: WHA may be impacted (Impact level has not been quantified) |
Short-term: No Impact Medium-term: WHA may be impacted (Impact level has not been quantified) Long-term: WHA may be impacted (Impact level has not been quantified) |
|
| Reputation: Limitation to access capital | 100% of operational sites |
Short-term: No Impact Medium-term: WHA may be impacted (Impact level has not been quantified) Long-term: WHA may be impacted (Impact level has not been quantified) |
Short-term: No Impact Medium-term: WHA may be impacted (Impact level has not been quantified) Long-term: WHA may be impacted (Impact level has not been quantified) |
|
Opportunities associated with climate change
| Opportunity | Impact Areas | Financial Impact | Management measure and adaptation plan | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IEA STEPS Scenario | IEA NZE 2050 Scenario | |||
| Demand shift: Customer Preference Shift to Low-Carbon Products and Service | 100% of operational sites |
Short-term: No Impact Medium-term: WHA may be impacted (Impact level has not been quantified) Long-term: WHA may be impacted (Impact level has not been quantified) |
|
|